Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 208.192081 241.679739 280.068482 327.604542 385.261672 453.405563 540.743790
2025-09-07 164.118485 206.444729 260.016460 333.847034 434.624593 569.868403 769.448782
2025-09-14 132.891228 176.011926 234.231222 320.459339 448.235316 636.159672 944.506167
2025-09-21 115.528638 159.473561 221.995617 320.296229 476.495078 725.372002 1174.848794
2025-09-28 103.320975 147.672787 213.645807 322.880964 507.516805 823.864865 1448.876535
2025-10-05 97.751338 144.495869 217.115494 343.698244 571.481233 992.313892 1907.681180
2025-10-12 92.625437 141.082100 219.354368 362.341820 635.077653 1176.474368 2470.878105
2025-10-19 84.619814 131.926261 210.710391 360.098149 658.776134 1287.866818 2917.764917
2025-10-26 79.815737 127.415280 209.201150 370.381193 708.985737 1468.955429 3620.325310
2025-11-02 74.717057 121.764759 204.849915 374.306421 746.563594 1632.384863 4359.482430
2025-11-09 70.463113 117.096116 201.624463 379.807841 788.668074 1819.795551 5278.318498
2025-11-16 66.120912 111.795301 196.529314 380.525095 819.821424 1989.054299 6244.725327
2025-11-23 61.553642 106.059462 190.760007 380.850401 855.459286 2199.272321 7586.145099
2025-11-30 58.101458 102.117563 188.173788 388.229218 912.525897 2502.148318 9618.751944
2025-12-07 52.842301 94.130988 176.349222 372.167034 902.982573 2592.440196 10793.212541
2025-12-14 49.598936 89.769427 171.523663 371.971360 938.057296 2851.033807 13142.603310
2025-12-21 46.966224 86.353716 168.272487 375.069445 983.961512 3173.656448 16330.505955
2025-12-28 46.214477 86.686348 173.222935 400.055820 1105.449765 3862.776162 23200.128869
2026-01-04 45.253159 86.467752 176.893949 422.483736 1227.286739 4642.276181 32748.364106
2026-01-11 42.734055 82.666908 171.806680 419.782173 1262.131884 5048.138472 40084.913865
2026-01-18 41.331357 81.161602 171.968603 432.169226 1356.619224 5827.953794 54200.205534
2026-01-25 39.597199 78.757024 169.664176 436.901228 1424.423665 6525.173997 70422.519803
2026-02-01 38.091993 76.731266 168.061320 443.536722 1503.079912 7362.802994 93502.019161